Publication library
Research for people
who need to understand.
Independent analysis of market structure, derivatives, gaming and interactive products, digital assets, financial regulation, AI-enabled legal systems, and the governance of novel financial technology.
From the Prediction Markets Institute
Prediction markets study guide ↗
A practitioner-first companion to the Institute’s living competency blueprint: market structure, contract design, settlement, integrity, and regulatory judgment.
Latest publications
Complete Medium archive ↗The Commodity Exchange Act and Prediction Markets
The Missing Hedge
The Perpetual Event Contract
The Free Play That Costs Everything
The Loyalty Mint
The House That Hedges
The complete archive